Serbia:
Student movement ousts Vučić after 12 years in power
Aleksandar Vučić has conceded defeat in Sunday’s parliamentary
election, ending 12 years of right-wing populist rule. The student-led
Student List is projected to take 135–141 seats, well above the 126
needed for a majority. Vučić’s SNS has about 105, and no other party
cleared the threshold. Turnout was a record.
The movement started nearly two years ago, after the canopy at Novi
Sad’s railway station collapsed and killed 16 people. It turned anger
over corruption and creeping authoritarianism into a national cause.
Vučić called the snap election in September, apparently expecting to
outlast the opposition. Instead, he took the most decisive defeat of his
decade in power. Celebrations broke out across Belgrade, and the EU said
“the door is open” to Serbia.
Lula
wins a record fourth term; Bolsonaro calls for annulment
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva beat Flávio Bolsonaro by 51.8% to 48.2% in
Sunday’s runoff. It was a dramatic comeback after Lula unexpectedly lost
the first round. He called the result “a defeat for denialism.”
Bolsonaro refuses to concede and wants the result annulled, which echoes
his father’s 2022 playbook. Voting was extended in some areas after
complaints about transport. Crowds filled Paulista Avenue, and leaders
around the world congratulated Lula.
Novatek’s
secret Alaska stake was on the table with Putin
New reporting by the NYT and FT shows how deep the Polar LNG affair
goes. Novatek is under sanctions, but it secretly funded and directed
the $25bn gas export venture on Alaska’s North Slope before it had OFAC
approval. The money went through a UAE intermediary. The former CEO and
almost all of the leadership resigned in September after they found out.
“It’s not only unlawful, but it’s not in the US interest,” the former
CEO warned. The project is linked to Gentry Beach, an investor with ties
to the Trump family. US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner discussed
the Novatek–Polar LNG proposal directly with Putin in September. Under
that proposal, Novatek would help build the Alaska terminal, and in
return the US would lift sanctions on Arctic LNG 2. A separate Lukoil
deal is reportedly also under discussion. Polar LNG calls its former CEO
a “disgruntled employee.” Treasury says it takes possible sanctions
violations “extremely seriously.”
The first Russian diesel cargo since July 2023, about 300,000
barrels, is on its way to New York. Analysts say that is about 7% of one
day’s US consumption, too little to move pump prices. Zelenskyy called
it “a weak decision by strong partners.”
Ukraine
strikes Russia’s titanium, missile batteries and chips in one day
Drones hit the VSMPO-AVISMA titanium complex in Perm Krai, about
1,580 km from the border. It produces an estimated 96% of Russia’s
military titanium, which goes into Su-34 airframes, aircraft engines and
rocket systems. Storm Shadow missiles set fire to the Energia plant in
Yelets, which makes batteries for Iskander and Kinzhal missiles.
Satellite imagery confirms two damaged buildings at the
Proton-Electrotex chip plant in Oryol, and drones also hit the Voronezh
aircraft plant and a petrochemical plant. In a single day, the strikes
hit missile supply chains, airframe production and electronics.
(Also covered in Ukraine)
Talks
about talks: a Putin–Trump–Xi summit in preparation, while Kyiv draws
red lines
The Kremlin confirms that preparations are under way for a three-way
summit between Putin, Trump and Xi, with no date or place announced yet.
Moscow says it is ready to resume trilateral talks with the US and
Ukraine after November 4, and House Speaker Johnson says Washington is
“close.” Zelenskyy has set firm limits: no cap on Ukraine’s armed
forces, no neutral status and no security guarantees dictated by Russia.
Kyiv has also given Washington three proposals for stopping its strikes
on Russian refineries. Foreign Minister Sybiha says Russia will not
negotiate seriously while it believes it can force Ukraine to
capitulate. Zelenskyy has submitted legislation to extend martial law
and mobilisation to 29 January 2027. Separately, the US is reportedly
backing Viktor Orbán for UN Secretary-General and wants Russia and China
to support him.