Josse-posten

The war widens to civilian airports, allies refuse to follow, and the machines — whether drones, autoantibodies, or AI agents — keep running on their own logic.

Dubai Airport Burns

A drone struck a fuel tank near Dubai International Airport, forcing Emirates to suspend all flights. The world’s busiest international hub — offline. The Gulf states that stayed out of the conflict are being pulled in anyway, one fuel depot and cancelled flight at a time. Oil grinds past $106. Japanese strategic reserves are being tapped. Australian petrol stations are running dry.

Gas station price sign in Tokyo, March 14. Japan has begun releasing strategic oil reserves as Brent tops $106.

“Let Him Send His Ships”

Trump demanded NATO allies help secure the Strait of Hormuz, threatening a “very bad future” for those who refuse. Japan said no. Australia said no. Iran’s Revolutionary Guard responded: “Let him send his ships.” The UK is drawing up plans to send unmanned minesweepers — the diplomatic middle ground between doing nothing and escalating. Meanwhile, Russia earns an estimated $150 million per day in extra oil revenue from the crisis it helped create, while simultaneously shipping electronic warfare equipment to Iran. (Also covered in Investigations)

The Cells That Won’t Stop Fighting

Fluge & Mella in Bergen published a pilot study targeting the root of autoantibody-driven ME/CFS: long-lived plasma cells. Daratumumab (anti-CD38) markedly improved 6 of 10 patients where rituximab had failed — because rituximab can’t reach the CD20-negative cells actually producing the antibodies. IgG dropped 54% in responders. A 66-patient RCT is planned. For ME/CFS research, this is the most promising mechanistic result in years. (Full details in Long COVID Research)

Also today

  • Graydon Hoare (creator of Rust) says he “literally never writes code by hand anymore” — and finds the shift “mostly sort of horrifying”
  • River 0.4.0 separates the Wayland window manager from the compositor — WMs become weekend projects, crashes don’t take the session down
  • Mr Nobody Against Putin wins best documentary Oscar — a Russian teacher’s record of how his pupils were indoctrinated
  • Claude’s 1M context window is now GA at standard pricing — Opus 4.6 hits 78.3% on MRCR v2
  • French local elections see strong gains for National Rally and radical left ahead of next year’s presidential race

Markets

Value Chg
S&P 500 −0.6%
Oil (Brent) $106+ +1.3%
Gold −1.3%
EUR/USD 1.0843
USD/NOK 10.82
BTC $73,425 +2.6%

Oil grinds higher as Hormuz stays shut. Equities soft on war costs and the Supreme Court tariff ruling. Defense names mixed.

World News

Iran War & Middle East Crisis

Israeli air defense system fires to intercept missiles during an Iranian attack over Tel Aviv.

Israel & Palestine

Europe

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Africa & South Asia

Oscars

cd ~/repos/ratatosk && claude --resume 0680a002-3060-4e81-864b-b91ab52bec4e

Ukraine

Zelensky declared that Ukraine has thwarted Russia’s planned large-scale spring offensive through counteroffensive actions, claiming Russian losses of 30,000–35,000 troops per month — driven largely by FPV drones. The frontline picture is mixed: Ukrainian forces made notable local advances near Yampil (southeast of Lyman) and in southern Kostyantynivka, while Russia pushed forward near Stupochky and Myrne in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. The heaviest fighting remains concentrated around Pokrovsk and Kostyantynivka, where Ukrainian forces are conducting clearing operations in Hryshyne. A key development on the Russian side: the 144th Motorized Rifle Division reportedly lost combat effectiveness in the Kupyansk direction and had to withdraw, while Russian recruits continue arriving at the front within three weeks of signing contracts. Ukrainian deep strikes continue to erode Russian rear infrastructure — hitting an air defense missile depot near Dovzhansk, oil infrastructure at Tikhoretsk (for the second time in four days) and a new target at Labinsk in Krasnodar Krai, radar stations and an S-400 launcher in Crimea, and Moscow itself for a second consecutive day.

Fire at oil depot in Labinsk, Krasnodar Krai after Ukrainian drone strike.

Ukraine’s diplomatic landscape is shifting. Trump is reportedly losing interest in Ukraine talks as the Iran crisis dominates Washington’s attention, with peace negotiations stalled since February and weapons deliveries — especially air defense — delayed. France will provide Ukraine with the newest SAMP/T NG system for battlefield testing against Russian ballistic missiles. Slovakia dropped its last-minute objections to extend EU individual sanctions on Russia for another six months. Russia is now supplying Iran with Shahed drones, according to Zelensky — completing a troubling loop where the weapon originally came from Iran. A UN probe concluded that Russia’s deportation of Ukrainian children constituted crimes against humanity. Meanwhile, a Russian strike on Novodnistrovsk’s hydropower plant spilled oil into the Dnister River, threatening Moldova’s water supply and prompting a 15-day environmental alert.

cd ~/repos/ratatosk && claude --resume c5eebfc9-ba0a-4a20-8089-14727f43b097

Investigations & Geopolitics

Russia Is Earning $150M/Day from the War It Helps Fuel

Analysis | r/geopolitics — The US simultaneously sanctions Russia and conducts operations against Iran that have removed major oil supplies from global markets. The result: Russia commands a premium on Urals crude, earning an estimated $150M/day in extra revenue, while transferring electronic warfare equipment to Iran via transport aircraft. The FT projects $3.3–4.9 billion in additional Russian revenue by month’s end. US oil companies, meanwhile, stand to gain $63 billion from the Gulf disruption (FT).

Mounir Lazzez pictured with Daniel Kinahan and in front of Christy Kinahan — linking the UFC fighter to the cartel network behind sanctioned oil tanker purchases.

“Biggest I-told-you-so in history” — Qatar’s characterization of warnings it says were ignored before the regional war erupted. (Khaleej Times)

cd ~/repos/ratatosk && claude --resume cdcea204-f912-42f3-ac7e-5e8b0abba7c6

Long COVID Research

Takeaways

Clinical outcomes for daratumumab-treated ME/CFS patients: SF-36 physical function, DSQ-SF symptom scores, and function levels during follow-up.

Directly relevant

Significant developments

cd ~/repos/ratatosk && claude --resume dcb690d7-24b8-4d15-8f3c-d34952716ed6

AI

Claude Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6 maintaining accuracy across the full 1M context window.

Recon’s Tamagotchi View — pixel-art creatures representing Claude Code agents, grouped by working directory.

cd ~/repos/ratatosk && claude --resume 86f5fab9-9bb5-4700-a744-4ae0c1df2207

Tech

Canoe, a stacking window manager with a classic look and feel, running on River’s new separated architecture.

“I literally never write code by hand anymore.” — Graydon Hoare (creator of Rust), describing the shift as “mostly sort of horrifying.” (Dreamwidth)

Also noteworthy

cd ~/repos/ratatosk && claude --resume 91b29015-a20b-4001-acd3-8cc6e7b7c956
cd ~/repos/ratatosk && claude --resume 3700acf4-52e6-4aa1-97ce-a7bc008be61a